In the end, AI will be a tool only software and data engineers leverage

Posted 1 week, 2 days ago | Originally written on 27 Dec 2025

New tools and technology produce a societal shock by enabling anyone participate in what were previously esoteric activities. In fact, you can tell that a technology is transformative when the news is filled with stories of how the jobs of experts in that domain will disappear. I think this is just a poor understanding of how technology transformation actually occurs. While it is true that, in the early stages, new technology does pose a threat by inviting lay people to partake of that which was once the exclusive preserve of a minority, in the long run––as naysaying experts begin to indulge––it is the experts that incorporate the new technology to amplify what only they could do but at orders of magnitude. I've begun to see signals of this with AI coding assist tools. Early on, given their sterling performance at coding and making this their first killer app, there was a threat that software engineering as a discipline would die and that many jobs would disappear. Indeed, this has been the case. In the meantime, vibe coding arose with new players like Replit advertising aggressively to get the masses to engorge in coding like never before. But I'm now also seeing confessions by seasoned software engineers who openly use AI to amplify their work and the results indicate that eventually vibe coding will only be in the hands of experts. Yes, there will be the trivial task of authoring simple scripts to solve odd jobs––that will happen. But to built high quality software at scale will require deep experience. Add to that the fact that expert programmers will also––singlehandedly––build tools that make coding by the masses so much easier and you have the double whammy effect of AI assist.